Thursday, October 14, 2010

Take Your Pick: Week 6

Boy, did I pick the wrong week to stop sniffing glue.  Last week was quite possibly the worst week I have ever had picking NFL games.  The upsets I thought would hit, missed. The games I thought would be easy, became upsets. And then there were some absolute shockers, one of which knocked me out of a pick 'em league.

How in the world could New Orleans lose to Arizona?  The only offensive touchdown the Cardinals put on the board was a fumble recovery.  Then you had Dallas, San Diego, Cincinnati, and Green Bay giving their games away.

Oh well, just like Brett Favre throwing an intercepted text message pass, I have to forget about it and move on to the next week.  I can promise my reader this, I'm going to do better than I did last week.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears were one of the wins I had last week and they find themselves in a similar matchup against a weak team.  With the way the Bears play defense, it should be a similar outcome.  The Seahawks don't have any firepower on offense other than special teams scores.  Even if they get one, I still think the Bears will get it done at home.

Seattle:    13
Chicago: 21

Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers

This one is difficult to call this early in the week.  The Packers have been decimated by injuries already this season, and last week was devastating (not only to them, but also my fantasy team).  Until we know whether or not Aaron Rodgers is going to play, this one is a coin flip.  Both teams need this win badly, and without Rodgers, I think the Dolphins will bounce back after getting smoked by New England. 

Miami:       20
Green Bay: 17

San Diego Chargers vs. St. Louis Rams

The Chargers have shown they are a completely different team on the road this year, and their special teams have cost them two wins.  The Rams got a dose of reality courtesy of the Lions last week.  I don't see the Chargers losing back to back games against inferior opponents.  This is the part of the schedule where rookie quarterbacks tend to struggle.  Not good news for the Rams who also lost Mark Clayton for the season.  Tom Brady would struggle with the receivers Bradford has to work with and Steven Jackson can't do it on his own.

San Diego: 34
St. Louis:    16

Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots

This is a great matchup considering they're playing in New England.  Baltimore seems to be finding their offense courtesy of Ray Rice, but New England is coming off a bye week after dominating Miami in impressive fashion.  The Pats re-signed Deion Branch to take over the role formerly held by Randy Moss, formerly held by Deion Branch.  One thing I do know, Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have not forgotten about the beating Baltimore put on them in Foxboro last year, in the playoffs. This one should be fun.

Baltimore:        27
New England: 28

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Well, I never thought I would have to do serious consideration to pick the winner of this game, but that is where the Saints are this year.  The Bucs actually sit half a game ahead of the world champs in the standings.  They haven't played a great deal of offense en route to their 3-1 record, but neither have the Saints.  I feel like New Orleans will get on track sometime this season and Tampa Bay is usually a good place to fix an ailing offense.

New Orleans: 31
Tampa Bay:     23

Detroit Lions vs. New York Giants

The Giants have suddenly emerged as one of the hot teams in the NFL with a blowout win in Houston.  Hakeem Nicks has been the most productive receiver in the NFL and their pass rush has been on fire.  The Lions took out some frustration against the Rams last week notching their first victory of the season.  I think the Lions might cover the 10 point spread, but not win.

Detroit:       21
New York: 30

Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Falcons are extremely fortunate to be 4-1 this season after stealing games against San Francisco and New Orleans.  For that matter, they were losing against the Browns last week before they knocked Seneca Wallace out giving way to Jake Delhomme the interception king.  The Eagles have also been inconsistent this season, but they gave a good effort on the road against a desperate 49er club.  Kevin Kolb should have a bit more confidence after the win, and I imagine the Philly fans will give him a boost when he takes the field.  I like the Eagles here.

Atlanta:           24
Philadelphia: 33

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Ben Roethlisberger is back just in time for this once great rivalry.  No matter what the casual NFL fan might think of Cleveland as a franchise, this game still means a great deal to these two fan bases.  The fact is, the Steelers look overpowering on defense and the Browns are flirting with starting Colt McCoy.  In Pittsburgh.  Not good.

Cleveland:   10
Pittsburgh: 37

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans

This is most likely a game of find the fraud.  It's still hard for me to believe the Chiefs are good, but they sit atop the AFC West even after a loss to Indianapolis.  I have questions about their passing game, and I don't think they are a good road team.  Houston was flat out embarrassed by the Giants last week.  A bounce back game is needed badly.  They have been successful running the ball in their three wins and if they can do that against KC, they should come away with the victory.

Kansas City: 20
Houston:      28

Oakland Raiders vs. San Francisco 49ers

Come on San Fran!  This thing has gotten out of hand.  You guys are a better team than you have been showing, and you just need something to go right for you.  If you are going to salvage your season, this is the week to do it.  A winnable game against a weaker opponent.  Granted, the Raiders are coming off a home victory against the Chargers to snap a 13 game losing streak, but I know you have it in you.  You are three mental errors away from being 3-2.  Let's get it done this week.  The conference is still up for grabs!

Oakland:            16
San Francisco: 24

New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos

The Jets look to be about the best team in the NFL so far this season.  They are a top three defense and have found a nice burst with the resurgent Ladainian Tomlinson.  They are going on the road after a short week which is never good for an NFL team.  Meanwhile, Josh McDaniels looks like an offensive genius.  Well, passing game genius.  He has turned Kyle Orton into the most prolific passer in the NFL through five games and all without the benefit of a running game.  After watching Favre rack up the yardage against the Jets, I think this could be a very interesting game.

New York: 24
Denver:      21

Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings

Two teams that had Super Bowl aspirations before the season started now find themselves in a do or die game against an equally desperate opponent.  When is the last time the most interesting game of the week pitted two one win teams?  The question for the Cowboys is whether or not they can stop Adrian Peterson.  I honestly feel like (and I can't believe I'm saying this) Tavaris Jackson would give the Vikings a better chance to win this week than a hurt Brett Favre.  I like the Vikings better as a team, but I like Romo better as a quarterback.  Minnesota plays better defense, and they're at home.

Dallas:         24
Minnesota: 27

Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Redskins

Thanks NBC, for making this the Sunday night game.  There are eight games I'd rather watch than this one.  Oh well.  Nothing against either team, but they really aren't exciting.  Manning is the most over exposed quarterback in the league and the Skins play ugly football.  I have nothing against it, it's just not fun to watch.  If there is a blue print to beat the Colts, it's to run the ball. But the Skins are certainly not proficient on the ground.

Indianapolis: 24
Washington:   19

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Thanks ESPN, for making this one the Monday night game...you know the rest.  Can you believe this matchup?  What were they thinking when they made the schedule?  Is this a last ditch effort to get Jax some attendance numbers, or do they want the fans in Los Angeles to get a preview of their future franchise?  Why not play this one in London?  That makes as much sense as making it the Monday night game.  Uggghhh.  Looks like Monday will be board game night.  I'll take Jax in the mini upset.

Tennessee:      20
Jacksonville: 21

1 comment:

LinkWithin

Related Posts with Thumbnails